So, the Bears are coming to town and they may or may not have a shot at a first-round bye. They should know by gametime but I don't know if that will change their strategy...but who knows what that strategy will be. On one hand, you have a team that has secured a playoff berth and could rest guys to get healthier for the playoffs. Alternately, this is a huge rivalry game; Bears/Packers! You'd have to think that the Bears would want to do what they could to keep the Packers out of the playoffs. Everyone knows this is a dangerous Packers squad and there will be A LOT of Bears fans on Sunday afternoon. However, is that enough to convince Lovie Smith to truely "play his guys" all game? We'll all know the answer to that soon enough but in the meantime, let's see if I need to keep my stuff in the suitcase or if I can unpack for a longer stay.
Aaron Rodgers Quarterback Rating
So, here is how you calculate a Passer Rating:
Got all that? OVER
Green Bay Penalties
This Packers team is on a collision course with a team-record for lowest penalties in a season. Hard to believe for a team that had a team-record 18 penalties in the week 3 match-up with this Bears team.While I worry that they may incur some bad penalties, I don't think they'll get to 7. UNDER
Number of Designed Running Plays by Green Bay Running Backs
I think McCarthy has found something in this cobbled-together trio (quartet?). The Packer running backs were leaned on 34 and 33 times in the last two games and, despite losing one of the games, it was successful. However, this is a tough Bears defense with a stout line that could push around the likes of Colledge and Bulaga. The Packers will need the play-action passing game and whether or not the run works, the attempts will make that part of the playbook effective. OVER
Jay Cutler Interceptions
Does anything describe this guy better than "smug prick"? OVER
Turnovers by Green Bay
This is a good Bears defense but the Packers have a +10 turnover ratio. The Bears ratio is not that good...even with that defense. UNDER
Drops by James Jones
He juggles a high percentage of this catches and drops at least one per game. He had a bad game against the Bears (drops, the fumble) so I actually believe he'll get up for this game so I'll take the UNDER.
Touchdowns by John Kuuuuuuuhhhhhnn
Dammit...this is a push number...completely legitimate. I would put $20 on the fact that he gets exactly 1 touchdown. Ugh...OVER
Total Return Yards by Devin Hester
What this guy does will determine how the game goes. Shawn Slocum, if you want a job somewhere next year (not in Green Bay, but somewhere) make sure this unit is disciplined and ready to tackle. If Masthay has a net average of 20 because he kicked them all out of bounds, I'll be happy. Hell, just go for it on 4th down! UNDER
Well, there you have it...the final regular season prop bets. Will there be a Round 1 Betting Lines next week? Wait and see but if I'm in the black again next week...I would tend to think so.