Wednesday, April 27, 2011

NFL Draft First Round Predictions

After our collective success in the NCAA Basketball Tournament predictions, a few of us thought we'd take a shot at the fuster cluck that is the NFL Draft.
PickJamesStock LemonTurtle
1CAR-QB Cam NewtonCAR-QB Cam NewtonCAR-QB Cam Newton
2DEN-DT Marcell DareusDEN-DT Marcell DareusDEN-LB Von Miller
3BUF-QB Blaine GabbertBUF-LB Von MillerBUF-DT Marcell Dareus
5ARI-QB Jake LockerARI-QB Blaine GabbertARI-CB Patrick Peterson
6CLE-CB Patrick PetersonCLE-DE Da'Quan BowersCLE-WR Julio Jones
7SF-CB Prince AmukamaraSF-CB Patrick PetersonSF-CB Prince Amukamara
8TEN-QB Andy DaltonTEN-DT Nick FairleyTEN-QB Blaine Gabbert
9DAL-OT Tyron SmithDAL-OT Tyron SmithDAL-OT Anthony Costanzo
10WAS-WR Julio JonesWAS-QB Ryan MallettWAS-DE Da'Quan Bowers
11HOU-DE Cameron JordanHOU-DE Robert QuinnHOU-DE Robert Quinn
12MIN-DE Da'Quan BowersMIN-DE Cameron JordanMIN-QB Ryan Mallett
13DET-OT Anthony CostanzoDET-CB Prince AmukamaraDET-OT Tyron Smith
14STL-DT Nick FairleySTL-DE Ryan KerriganSTL-DE Aldon Smith
15MIA-RB Mark IngramMIA-OL Mike PounceyMIA-RB Mark Ingram
16JAC-DE JJ WattJAC-DE JJ WattJAC-DT Corey Liuget
17NE-DE Aldon SmithNE-OT Anthony CostanzoNE-OL Gabe Carimi
18SD-DT Corey LiugetSD-DE Aldon SmithSD-DE Ryan Kerrigan
19NYG-TE Kyle RudolphNYG-RB Mark IngramNYG-OT Nate Solder
20TB-DE Ryan KerriganTB-DL Adrian ClaybornTB-DE Cameron Jordan
21KC-LB Von MillerKC-OT Gabe CarimiKC-OL Mike Pouncey
22IND-OT Nate SolderIND-DT Corey LiugetIND-DE Adrian Clayborn
23PHI-CB Jimmy SmithPHI-OT Nate SolderPHI-CB Jimmy Smith
24NO-DT Muhammad WilkersonNO-DE Ryan KerriganNO-DE Cam Heyward
25SEA-CB Aaron WilliamsSEA-QB Jake LockerSEA-QB Jake Locker
26BAL-WR Torrey SmithBAL-CB Jimmy SmithBAL-CB Aaron Williams
27ATL-OT Gabe CarimiATL-DL Cam HeywardATL-DT Marvin Austin
28NE-OG Danny WatkinsNE-LB Akeem Ayers*GB-DE JJ Watt
29CHI-OG Marcus CannonCHI-DT Marvin AustinCHI-OG Danny Watkins
30NYJ-DT Phil TaylorNYJ-DT Phil TaylorNYJ-DT Muhammad Wilkerson
31PIT-OL Mike PounceyPIT-OT Derrek SherrodPIT-OT Derrek Sherrod
16GB-RB Mikel LeShoureGB-LB Brooks Reed*NE-LB Akeem Ayers
*Projected Trade: GB & NE swap late first round picks. NE also receives pick #32 of fourth round (#129 overall).

A few notes from the contributers:
Yes, 4 QB's, in the first 8 picks, boom! (Emphasis added)

Looking at the top eight picks, there are a lot of pretty common sense moves in the bunch. Plenty of teams have a combination of need meeting best overall player, which could make the first eight relatively predictable. The biggest exception to that statement is the first overall pick. Cam Newton will not make a great quarterback in the NFL, but the Panthers need a quarterback and a ticket seller, and for a little while, Newton will be both in the NFL.
As one would expect, the end of the first round is filled with question marks. Guys like Jimmy Smith and Marvin Austin carry a lot of baggage to their new teams, but their talent is worthy of first round money (whatever the new CBA decides that is). These last eight teams are really all about boom or bust, except for the Seahawks, who go all for bust with the local quarterback. Expect Andy Dalton from TCU to go off the board early in the second, and possibly be the best quarterback from this draft. The Patriots once again draft smart, and Ayers could be the best of this bunch.

I read in SI that JJ Watt could drop for some reason so I'm clinging to this and thinking Ted and Mike make it happen.

For those interested, Green Bay's picks are as follows:
Round 1: #32
Round 2: #32 (#64)
Round 3: #32 (#96)
Round 4: #32 (#129) & #34 (#131) Compensatory
Round 5: #32 (#163)
Round 6: #32 (#197)
Round 7: #1 (#204) from Carolina & #30 (#233)

Am I the only one hoping for the start of free agency tomorrow? My GOD, how awesome would that be?!??! Talk about strategy!

The fun starts at 8 PM ET/7 PM CT on Thursday.


james said...

Why did I bury Von Miller?? .... I.. Don't.. Know..

James said...

No, really, I have no idea, complete mental lapse, if I could go back and do it again, I'd probably shift:

Von Miller to #3 with Buffalo,
Gabbert to #8 with Tennesee,
Dalton to #12 with Minnesota,
Bowers to Jacksonville at #16,
then Watt to 21 with KC.

Way to make it difficult, James

Turtle said...

Well, if McNabb goes to Minn, and Kolb gets traded to Arizona, then what?

James said...

World will Explode, just blow the fuck up.

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